Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DIA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.501275 0.562114 0.631268 0.716546 0.820089 0.943358 1.103748
2025-08-17 0.408437 0.478065 0.562660 0.675237 0.824745 1.022175 1.313271
2025-08-24 0.357902 0.432158 0.526939 0.660725 0.851813 1.127694 1.584424
2025-08-31 0.338990 0.421575 0.532127 0.697643 0.952742 1.359202 2.131888
2025-09-07 0.311699 0.395617 0.511768 0.693243 0.989422 1.499704 2.591641
2025-09-14 0.287400 0.370669 0.489021 0.680467 1.008304 1.613173 3.059441
2025-09-21 0.269279 0.352402 0.473467 0.675784 1.038685 1.755900 3.687948
2025-09-28 0.251517 0.332935 0.453820 0.661186 1.047604 1.857445 4.289730
2025-10-05 0.247912 0.333892 0.465369 0.700306 1.165793 2.242567 6.193808
2025-10-12 0.249379 0.342455 0.489629 0.765450 1.354157 2.901652 10.566876
2025-10-19 0.236616 0.327744 0.474018 0.754199 1.373622 3.109208 13.320967
2025-10-26 0.226835 0.317046 0.464157 0.752578 1.415139 3.410920 18.022431
2025-11-02 0.212464 0.298784 0.441075 0.724564 1.393579 3.517908 22.115254
2025-11-09 0.197443 0.278631 0.413291 0.684070 1.333220 3.460477 24.383615
2025-11-16 0.187735 0.266644 0.399025 0.669862 1.338744 3.668995 33.136007
2025-11-23 0.186308 0.268213 0.408969 0.707807 1.495802 4.662899 92.249315
2025-11-30 0.179264 0.259839 0.400023 0.703414 1.531867 5.143813 200.334054
2025-12-07 0.171710 0.250161 0.387911 0.690400 1.538936 5.488487 480.842414
2025-12-14 0.165752 0.242903 0.379822 0.685632 1.571376 6.042129 3886.618712
2025-12-21 0.159044 0.233998 0.367981 0.670725 1.567270 6.365308 NaN
2025-12-28 0.158941 0.236628 0.378535 0.710699 1.764992 8.633456 NaN
2026-01-04 0.161221 0.243608 0.398287 0.777315 2.099341 13.832099 NaN
2026-01-11 0.155745 0.236230 0.388407 0.765807 2.116271 15.286329 NaN